Business PC market down 8.7% this year, says IC Insights

Business PC market down 8.7% this year, says IC Insights

2013/11/25

While the market for all computing devices will grow at a CAGR of 11% between 2012 and 2016, the market for desktops and notebooks will fall 8.7% this year and grow by only 2% next year, says IC Insights.

IC Insights forecasts total personal computing unit shipments (desktop PCs, notebooks, tablets, and Internet/cloud portables) will grow an average of 10.6% from 2012 to 2017, reaching 770 million systems.

Total personal computing systems will increase an estimated 12.0% to 522 million systems worldwide in 2013, compared to 466 million units in 2012.

Splitting out the data, combined shipments of desktop and notebook computers (standard PCs) are expected to fall 8.7% to an estimated 315 million in 2013, which represents the biggest one-year decline ever for PCs.

Previously, the largest annual decline in PC unit shipments was a 4.3% drop in the 2001 industry recession.  PC-only shipments are expected to increase 2% in 2014 to 322 million units as more consumers and businesses decide they can no longer postpone purchases of new notebooks and desktop computers to replace their existing personal computers.

Meanwhile, demand for tablets has sizzled throughout 2013.  Unit shipments of tablet PCs will climb 73% in 2013 to an estimated 202 million systems worldwide compared to 117 million in 2012.

In addition, the small market niche of Internet/cloud-computing laptops—primarily designed for online use and often needing to be connected to websites to be fully functional—is expected to increase 42% in 2013 to an estimated 5.1 million systems from 3.6 million in 2012.

From 2012-2017, shipments of standard PCs are expected to fall by a CAGR of -0.3% to 340 million in 2017 compared to 345 million in 2012.  Tablet shipments are projected to rise by a CAGR of 28.8% in the forecast period, reaching 415 million units in 2017 and Internet/cloud-computing laptops are projected to rise by CAGR of 32.1% and reach 15 million units in 2017.

China will again capture the largest marketshare for personal computing systems, accounting for an estimated 18% unit marketshare.  The U.S. (17%), Europe (15%), and Japan (5%), are other significant markets.

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